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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

19:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC St. Pauli Win

28%

Hamburger SV

3.55

26%

Draw

3.88

46%

FC St. Pauli

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

2.91

1.65

FC St. Pauli xG

28%
26%
46%
Hamburger SVDrawFC St. Pauli

3.55

28%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

19%

Hamburger SV

5.23

29%

FC St. Pauli

3.50

Win to Nil

5%

Hamburger SV

18.54

13%

FC St. Pauli

7.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 9.0 7.5 4.1 1.7 0.6
1 6.8 11.3 9.4 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 4.3 7.1 5.9 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 1.8 3.0 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.252
λ Away (xG) 1.654
Total xG 2.906
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.546
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.858
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.150
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.930
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.944
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 35