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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

43%

Hamburger SV

2.30

26%

Draw

3.78

30%

FC Augsburg

3.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

2.58

1.15

FC Augsburg xG

43%
26%
30%
Hamburger SVDrawFC Augsburg

2.30

43%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

3.32

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

32%

Hamburger SV

3.15

24%

FC Augsburg

4.19

Win to Nil

14%

Hamburger SV

7.25

7%

FC Augsburg

13.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 8.7 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 10.8 12.5 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 8.9 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.7 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.433
λ Away (xG) 1.148
Total xG 2.581
League avg home goals 1.692
League avg away goals 1.393
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.805
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.000
FC Augsburg attack strength 0.824
FC Augsburg defence strength 1.052
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 61