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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Wed 4 Mar 2026

19:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

36%

Hamburger SV

2.80

26%

Draw

3.79

38%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

2.81

1.43

Bayer Leverkusen xG

36%
26%
38%
Hamburger SVDrawBayer Leverkusen

2.80

36%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

2.64

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

24%

Hamburger SV

4.17

25%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.97

Win to Nil

9%

Hamburger SV

11.68

10%

Bayer Leverkusen

10.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.6 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 8.3 11.9 8.5 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.7 8.2 5.9 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.6 3.8 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.380
λ Away (xG) 1.428
Total xG 2.808
League avg home goals 1.712
League avg away goals 1.361
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.926
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.017
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.032
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.870
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 57