Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

14:30

Venue

Mewa Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Werder Bremen Win

33%

FSV Mainz 05

3.07

23%

Draw

4.43

45%

Werder Bremen

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

3.35

1.82

Werder Bremen xG

33%
23%
45%
FSV Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen

3.07

33%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.91

Clean Sheet

16%

FSV Mainz 05

6.18

22%

Werder Bremen

4.61

Win to Nil

5%

FSV Mainz 05

18.96

10%

Werder Bremen

10.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 6.4 5.8 3.5 1.6 0.6
1 5.4 9.8 8.9 5.4 2.5 0.9
2 4.1 7.5 6.8 4.1 1.9 0.7
3 2.1 3.8 3.5 2.1 1.0 0.3
4 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.528
λ Away (xG) 1.821
Total xG 3.349
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.523
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.854
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 1.105
Werder Bremen attack strength 1.082
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.167
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42