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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

14:30

Venue

Mewa Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

40%

FSV Mainz 05

2.50

29%

Draw

3.42

31%

VfL Wolfsburg

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

2.88

1.34

VfL Wolfsburg xG

40%
29%
31%
FSV Mainz 05DrawVfL Wolfsburg

2.50

40%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

26%

FSV Mainz 05

3.81

21%

VfL Wolfsburg

4.67

Win to Nil

10%

FSV Mainz 05

9.54

7%

VfL Wolfsburg

15.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 7.5 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 8.7 11.6 7.7 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.7 8.9 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.4 4.6 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.541
λ Away (xG) 1.337
Total xG 2.878
League avg home goals 1.733
League avg away goals 1.433
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.718
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.949
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.984
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.238
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52