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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FSV Mainz 05 Win
49%
2.04
32%
3.08
19%
5.38
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
18.2%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.5%
Draw
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.26
FSV Mainz 05 xG
Total xG
1.93
0.68
FC St. Pauli xG
FSV Mainz 05DrawFC St. Pauli
2.04
49%
Home win
3.08
32%
Draw
5.38
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.73
63%
BTTS No
1.58
Clean Sheet
51%
1.97
28%
3.52
Win to Nil
25%
4.01
5%
18.94
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.5 | 9.8 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 18.2 | 12.3 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.4 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.258
λ Away (xG)
0.676
Total xG
1.934
League avg home goals
1.664
League avg away goals
1.351
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength
0.873
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength
0.692
FC St. Pauli attack strength
0.723
FC St. Pauli defence strength
0.866
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
56 / 22