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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Tue 13 Jan 2026

19:30

Venue

Mewa Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

43%

FSV Mainz 05

2.33

30%

Draw

3.34

27%

1. FC Heidenheim

3.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

2.50

1.08

1. FC Heidenheim xG

43%
30%
27%
FSV Mainz 05Draw1. FC Heidenheim

2.33

43%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.70

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

34%

FSV Mainz 05

2.94

24%

1. FC Heidenheim

4.12

Win to Nil

15%

FSV Mainz 05

6.85

7%

1. FC Heidenheim

15.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 8.9 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.7 12.6 6.8 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.3 8.9 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.9 4.2 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.417
λ Away (xG) 1.080
Total xG 2.497
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.470
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.678
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.929
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.791
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.215
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50