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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

14:30

Venue

Mewa Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

46%

FSV Mainz 05

2.19

29%

Draw

3.42

25%

FC Augsburg

3.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

2.57

1.07

FC Augsburg xG

46%
29%
25%
FSV Mainz 05DrawFC Augsburg

2.19

46%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

3.98

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

34%

FSV Mainz 05

2.90

22%

FC Augsburg

4.51

Win to Nil

16%

FSV Mainz 05

6.36

6%

FC Augsburg

17.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 8.1 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.5 12.3 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.2 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.4 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.507
λ Away (xG) 1.066
Total xG 2.573
League avg home goals 1.635
League avg away goals 1.461
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.848
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.919
FC Augsburg attack strength 0.794
FC Augsburg defence strength 1.087
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54