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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

18:30

Venue

MEWA ARENA

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

47%

FSV Mainz 05

2.14

28%

Draw

3.61

26%

Eintracht Frankfurt

3.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

2.55

1.05

Eintracht Frankfurt xG

47%
28%
26%
FSV Mainz 05DrawEintracht Frankfurt

2.14

47%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

3.91

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

35%

FSV Mainz 05

2.86

22%

Eintracht Frankfurt

4.49

Win to Nil

16%

FSV Mainz 05

6.12

6%

Eintracht Frankfurt

17.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 8.2 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.7 12.3 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.2 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.4 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.502
λ Away (xG) 1.050
Total xG 2.552
League avg home goals 1.548
League avg away goals 1.446
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.985
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.832
Eintracht Frankfurt attack strength 0.872
Eintracht Frankfurt defence strength 0.985
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65