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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

Mewa Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

16%

FSV Mainz 05

6.41

19%

Draw

5.23

65%

Bayern München

1.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

3.22

2.22

Bayern München xG

16%
19%
65%
FSV Mainz 05DrawBayern München

6.41

16%

Home win

5.23

19%

Draw

1.53

65%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

11%

FSV Mainz 05

9.24

37%

Bayern München

2.69

Win to Nil

2%

FSV Mainz 05

59.30

24%

Bayern München

4.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 8.9 9.9 7.4 4.1 1.8
1 4.0 8.9 9.8 7.3 4.1 1.8
2 2.0 4.4 4.9 3.6 2.0 0.9
3 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.3
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.991
λ Away (xG) 2.224
Total xG 3.215
League avg home goals 1.702
League avg away goals 1.464
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.799
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.863
Bayern München attack strength 1.760
Bayern München defence strength 0.729
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64