Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

14:30

Venue

Mewa Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

24%

FSV Mainz 05

4.15

25%

Draw

4.02

51%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

2.78

1.69

Bayer Leverkusen xG

24%
25%
51%
FSV Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen

4.15

24%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

1.96

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

18%

FSV Mainz 05

5.42

34%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.97

Win to Nil

4%

FSV Mainz 05

22.50

17%

Bayer Leverkusen

5.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 10.5 8.9 5.0 2.1 0.7
1 6.8 11.4 9.7 5.4 2.3 0.8
2 3.7 6.2 5.3 3.0 1.3 0.4
3 1.3 2.3 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.090
λ Away (xG) 1.690
Total xG 2.780
League avg home goals 1.622
League avg away goals 1.503
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.648
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.943
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.193
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 1.037
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40