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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

14:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC St. Pauli Win

36%

FC St. Pauli

2.78

35%

Draw

2.88

29%

VfL Bochum

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

0 – 1

13.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

1.85

0.86

VfL Bochum xG

36%
35%
29%
FC St. PauliDrawVfL Bochum

2.78

36%

Home win

2.88

35%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.66

62%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

42%

FC St. Pauli

2.37

37%

VfL Bochum

2.69

Win to Nil

15%

FC St. Pauli

6.58

11%

VfL Bochum

9.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.7 13.5 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 15.5 13.4 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 7.7 6.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.989
λ Away (xG) 0.863
Total xG 1.852
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.481
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.582
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.815
VfL Bochum attack strength 0.715
VfL Bochum defence strength 1.107
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 67