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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

14:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

15%

FC St. Pauli

6.89

22%

Draw

4.56

64%

VfB Stuttgart

1.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

10.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

3.17

2.19

VfB Stuttgart xG

15%
22%
64%
FC St. PauliDrawVfB Stuttgart

6.89

15%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

1.57

64%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

11%

FC St. Pauli

8.93

37%

VfB Stuttgart

2.67

Win to Nil

2%

FC St. Pauli

61.52

24%

VfB Stuttgart

4.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 9.2 10.1 7.3 4.0 1.8
1 4.1 9.0 9.9 7.2 3.9 1.7
2 2.0 4.4 4.8 3.5 1.9 0.8
3 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.3
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.981
λ Away (xG) 2.189
Total xG 3.170
League avg home goals 1.635
League avg away goals 1.461
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.696
FC St. Pauli defence strength 1.025
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.461
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.862
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54