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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

14:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

25%

FC St. Pauli

4.07

29%

Draw

3.47

47%

VfB Stuttgart

2.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

2.45

1.46

VfB Stuttgart xG

25%
29%
47%
FC St. PauliDrawVfB Stuttgart

4.07

25%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

2.15

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

23%

FC St. Pauli

4.29

37%

VfB Stuttgart

2.70

Win to Nil

6%

FC St. Pauli

17.46

17%

VfB Stuttgart

5.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 12.5 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
1 8.6 12.5 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.3 6.2 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.4 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.995
λ Away (xG) 1.457
Total xG 2.452
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.406
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.644
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.849
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.221
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 65