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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

16:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC St. Pauli Win

36%

FC St. Pauli

2.80

33%

Draw

3.05

32%

Union Berlin

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

0 – 1

14.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

1.83

0.88

Union Berlin xG

36%
33%
32%
FC St. PauliDrawUnion Berlin

2.80

36%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.78

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

42%

FC St. Pauli

2.40

39%

Union Berlin

2.59

Win to Nil

15%

FC St. Pauli

6.74

12%

Union Berlin

8.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1 14.1 6.2 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 15.3 13.4 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 7.3 6.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
3 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.952
λ Away (xG) 0.877
Total xG 1.829
League avg home goals 1.798
League avg away goals 1.432
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.507
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.921
Union Berlin attack strength 0.665
Union Berlin defence strength 1.044
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 52