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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FC St. Pauli Win
48%
2.08
30%
3.36
22%
4.52
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
0 – 0
10.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.40
FC St. Pauli xG
Total xG
2.26
0.87
SC Freiburg xG
FC St. PauliDrawSC Freiburg
2.08
48%
Home win
3.36
30%
Draw
4.52
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.23
55%
BTTS No
1.81
Clean Sheet
42%
2.38
25%
4.03
Win to Nil
20%
4.94
5%
18.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.4 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.5 | 12.6 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.1 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.395
λ Away (xG)
0.866
Total xG
2.261
League avg home goals
1.685
League avg away goals
1.368
FC St. Pauli attack strength
0.685
FC St. Pauli defence strength
0.883
SC Freiburg attack strength
0.716
SC Freiburg defence strength
1.208
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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