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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Fri 29 Nov 2024

19:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Holstein Kiel Win

26%

FC St. Pauli

3.92

37%

Draw

2.70

37%

Holstein Kiel

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.5%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.2%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.86

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

1.95

1.09

Holstein Kiel xG

26%
37%
37%
FC St. PauliDrawHolstein Kiel

3.92

26%

Home win

2.70

37%

Draw

2.67

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

34%

FC St. Pauli

2.97

42%

Holstein Kiel

2.37

Win to Nil

9%

FC St. Pauli

11.62

16%

Holstein Kiel

6.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.2 15.5 8.4 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 12.3 13.3 7.3 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 5.3 5.8 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.862
λ Away (xG) 1.087
Total xG 1.949
League avg home goals 1.626
League avg away goals 1.402
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.443
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.869
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.892
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.198
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 11 / 11