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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

14:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Heidenheim Win

35%

FC St. Pauli

2.86

26%

Draw

3.77

38%

1. FC Heidenheim

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

2.85

1.47

1. FC Heidenheim xG

35%
26%
38%
FC St. PauliDraw1. FC Heidenheim

2.86

35%

Home win

3.77

26%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

23%

FC St. Pauli

4.33

25%

1. FC Heidenheim

4.01

Win to Nil

8%

FC St. Pauli

12.38

10%

1. FC Heidenheim

10.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 8.4 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 8.0 11.7 8.6 4.2 1.5 0.5
2 5.5 8.1 6.0 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.6 3.8 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.388
λ Away (xG) 1.466
Total xG 2.854
League avg home goals 1.720
League avg away goals 1.412
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.673
FC St. Pauli defence strength 1.263
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.822
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.199
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47