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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

14:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Augsburg Win

34%

FC St. Pauli

2.92

23%

Draw

4.33

43%

FC Augsburg

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

2 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

3.25

1.72

FC Augsburg xG

34%
23%
43%
FC St. PauliDrawFC Augsburg

2.92

34%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.80

Clean Sheet

18%

FC St. Pauli

5.60

22%

FC Augsburg

4.59

Win to Nil

6%

FC St. Pauli

16.37

9%

FC Augsburg

10.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 6.7 5.8 3.3 1.4 0.5
1 5.9 10.2 8.8 5.1 2.2 0.8
2 4.5 7.8 6.7 3.9 1.7 0.6
3 2.3 4.0 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.3
4 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.524
λ Away (xG) 1.723
Total xG 3.247
League avg home goals 1.732
League avg away goals 1.542
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.970
FC St. Pauli defence strength 1.054
FC Augsburg attack strength 1.060
FC Augsburg defence strength 0.907
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36