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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

14:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC St. Pauli Win

39%

FC St. Pauli

2.54

28%

Draw

3.59

33%

FC Augsburg

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

2.35

1.11

FC Augsburg xG

39%
28%
33%
FC St. PauliDrawFC Augsburg

2.54

39%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

33%

FC St. Pauli

3.03

29%

FC Augsburg

3.48

Win to Nil

13%

FC St. Pauli

7.69

9%

FC Augsburg

10.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 10.5 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.8 13.1 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 7.4 8.2 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.1 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.246
λ Away (xG) 1.109
Total xG 2.355
League avg home goals 1.817
League avg away goals 1.405
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.652
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.871
FC Augsburg attack strength 0.906
FC Augsburg defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 53