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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

18:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

17%

FC St. Pauli

5.75

26%

Draw

3.79

56%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.9%

Away win

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.77

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

2.35

1.59

Bayer Leverkusen xG

17%
26%
56%
FC St. PauliDrawBayer Leverkusen

5.75

17%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

1.78

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

20%

FC St. Pauli

4.88

46%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.16

Win to Nil

4%

FC St. Pauli

28.07

26%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 15.1 11.9 6.3 2.5 0.8
1 7.3 11.6 9.2 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 2.8 4.4 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
3 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.768
λ Away (xG) 1.586
Total xG 2.354
League avg home goals 1.497
League avg away goals 1.458
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.628
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.865
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.258
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.817
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 63