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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

16:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1899 Hoffenheim Win

32%

FC St. Pauli

3.13

24%

Draw

4.18

44%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

3.36

1.83

1899 Hoffenheim xG

32%
24%
44%
FC St. PauliDraw1899 Hoffenheim

3.13

32%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

2.99

Clean Sheet

16%

FC St. Pauli

6.22

22%

1899 Hoffenheim

4.64

Win to Nil

5%

FC St. Pauli

19.48

10%

1899 Hoffenheim

10.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 6.3 5.8 3.5 1.6 0.6
1 5.3 9.7 8.9 5.4 2.5 0.9
2 4.1 7.5 6.8 4.2 1.9 0.7
3 2.1 3.8 3.5 2.1 1.0 0.4
4 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.534
λ Away (xG) 1.828
Total xG 3.362
League avg home goals 1.614
League avg away goals 1.547
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.963
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.991
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.192
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40