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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

14:30

Venue

Voith-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

30%

1. FC Heidenheim

3.32

27%

Draw

3.77

43%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

1. FC Heidenheim xG

Total xG

2.88

1.59

VfL Wolfsburg xG

30%
27%
43%
1. FC HeidenheimDrawVfL Wolfsburg

3.32

30%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

20%

1. FC Heidenheim

4.89

27%

VfL Wolfsburg

3.64

Win to Nil

6%

1. FC Heidenheim

16.23

12%

VfL Wolfsburg

8.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 8.9 7.1 3.7 1.5 0.5
1 7.3 11.5 9.1 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.7 7.4 5.9 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 2.0 3.2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.293
λ Away (xG) 1.588
Total xG 2.881
League avg home goals 1.657
League avg away goals 1.510
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.811
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.107
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.950
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 0.962
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34