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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

14:30

Venue

Voith-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

24%

1. FC Heidenheim

4.18

30%

Draw

3.34

46%

VfB Stuttgart

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

1. FC Heidenheim xG

Total xG

2.81

1.65

VfB Stuttgart xG

24%
30%
46%
1. FC HeidenheimDrawVfB Stuttgart

4.18

24%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

19%

1. FC Heidenheim

5.21

31%

VfB Stuttgart

3.18

Win to Nil

5%

1. FC Heidenheim

21.78

15%

VfB Stuttgart

6.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 10.0 8.2 4.5 1.9 0.6
1 7.0 11.5 9.5 5.2 2.2 0.7
2 4.0 6.7 5.5 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.6 2.6 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.156
λ Away (xG) 1.651
Total xG 2.807
League avg home goals 1.649
League avg away goals 1.480
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.708
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.173
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 0.950
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.990
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47