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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

14:30

Venue

Voith-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

33%

1. FC Heidenheim

3.02

22%

Draw

4.46

44%

FSV Mainz 05

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

2 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

1. FC Heidenheim xG

Total xG

3.40

1.84

FSV Mainz 05 xG

33%
22%
44%
1. FC HeidenheimDrawFSV Mainz 05

3.02

33%

Home win

4.46

22%

Draw

2.25

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.98

Clean Sheet

16%

1. FC Heidenheim

6.27

21%

FSV Mainz 05

4.77

Win to Nil

5%

1. FC Heidenheim

18.94

9%

FSV Mainz 05

10.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 6.1 5.6 3.4 1.6 0.6
1 5.2 9.6 8.8 5.4 2.5 0.9
2 4.1 7.5 6.9 4.2 1.9 0.7
3 2.1 3.9 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.4
4 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.562
λ Away (xG) 1.836
Total xG 3.398
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.492
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 1.006
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.255
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.980
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67