Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

18:30

Venue

Voith-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

21%

1. FC Heidenheim

4.67

26%

Draw

3.86

53%

FSV Mainz 05

1.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

1. FC Heidenheim xG

Total xG

2.84

1.77

FSV Mainz 05 xG

21%
26%
53%
1. FC HeidenheimDrawFSV Mainz 05

4.67

21%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

1.90

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

17%

1. FC Heidenheim

5.89

34%

FSV Mainz 05

2.90

Win to Nil

4%

1. FC Heidenheim

27.48

18%

FSV Mainz 05

5.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 10.4 9.2 5.4 2.4 0.9
1 6.2 11.1 9.8 5.8 2.6 0.9
2 3.3 5.9 5.2 3.1 1.4 0.5
3 1.2 2.1 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.066
λ Away (xG) 1.773
Total xG 2.839
League avg home goals 1.649
League avg away goals 1.362
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.714
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.258
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 1.035
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.905
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55