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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

14:30

Venue

Voith-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

26%

1. FC Heidenheim

3.89

21%

Draw

4.72

53%

Borussia Dortmund

1.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.9%

Draw

2 – 2

6.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

1. FC Heidenheim xG

Total xG

3.76

2.23

Borussia Dortmund xG

26%
21%
53%
1. FC HeidenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund

3.89

26%

Home win

4.72

21%

Draw

1.88

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.42

30%

BTTS No

3.38

Clean Sheet

11%

1. FC Heidenheim

9.30

22%

Borussia Dortmund

4.61

Win to Nil

3%

1. FC Heidenheim

36.19

12%

Borussia Dortmund

8.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 5.2 5.8 4.3 2.4 1.1
1 3.6 7.9 8.9 6.6 3.7 1.6
2 2.7 6.1 6.8 5.0 2.8 1.3
3 1.4 3.1 3.5 2.6 1.4 0.6
4 0.5 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.529
λ Away (xG) 2.230
Total xG 3.759
League avg home goals 1.669
League avg away goals 1.495
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.800
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.215
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.228
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.145
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36