Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

Voith-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

14%

1. FC Heidenheim

7.36

18%

Draw

5.61

69%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

1. FC Heidenheim xG

Total xG

3.38

2.40

Bayer Leverkusen xG

14%
18%
69%
1. FC HeidenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen

7.36

14%

Home win

5.61

18%

Draw

1.46

69%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

9%

1. FC Heidenheim

10.98

38%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.66

Win to Nil

1%

1. FC Heidenheim

80.79

26%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 8.2 9.8 7.8 4.7 2.2
1 3.4 8.0 9.6 7.7 4.6 2.2
2 1.6 3.9 4.7 3.8 2.3 1.1
3 0.5 1.3 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.4
4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.980
λ Away (xG) 2.396
Total xG 3.376
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.422
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.743
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.219
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.382
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.864
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61