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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

14:30

Venue

WWK Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Augsburg Win

43%

FC Augsburg

2.34

30%

Draw

3.31

27%

Holstein Kiel

3.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

FC Augsburg xG

Total xG

2.25

0.97

Holstein Kiel xG

43%
30%
27%
FC AugsburgDrawHolstein Kiel

2.34

43%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

3.69

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

38%

FC Augsburg

2.63

28%

Holstein Kiel

3.61

Win to Nil

16%

FC Augsburg

6.17

8%

Holstein Kiel

13.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 10.2 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.5 13.1 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.4 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.7 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.283
λ Away (xG) 0.968
Total xG 2.251
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.428
FC Augsburg attack strength 0.667
FC Augsburg defence strength 0.749
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.905
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.244
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 31