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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

14:30

Venue

WWK Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

35%

FC Augsburg

2.89

24%

Draw

4.10

41%

FSV Mainz 05

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

FC Augsburg xG

Total xG

2.99

1.56

FSV Mainz 05 xG

35%
24%
41%
FC AugsburgDrawFSV Mainz 05

2.89

35%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

21%

FC Augsburg

4.78

24%

FSV Mainz 05

4.15

Win to Nil

7%

FC Augsburg

13.80

10%

FSV Mainz 05

10.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.9 6.2 3.2 1.3 0.4
1 7.2 11.2 8.8 4.6 1.8 0.6
2 5.1 8.0 6.2 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.4 3.8 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.422
λ Away (xG) 1.565
Total xG 2.987
League avg home goals 1.726
League avg away goals 1.556
FC Augsburg attack strength 0.917
FC Augsburg defence strength 1.074
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.936
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.899
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37