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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 10 Oct 2026

14:30

Venue

WWK Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

28%

FC Augsburg

3.58

22%

Draw

4.63

50%

Bayern München

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.9%

Draw

2 – 2

6.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

FC Augsburg xG

Total xG

3.54

2.05

Bayern München xG

28%
22%
50%
FC AugsburgDrawBayern München

3.58

28%

Home win

4.63

22%

Draw

1.98

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.09

Clean Sheet

13%

FC Augsburg

7.78

23%

Bayern München

4.44

Win to Nil

4%

FC Augsburg

27.86

11%

Bayern München

8.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 5.9 6.1 4.2 2.1 0.9
1 4.3 8.9 9.1 6.2 3.2 1.3
2 3.2 6.6 6.8 4.6 2.4 1.0
3 1.6 3.3 3.4 2.3 1.2 0.5
4 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.491
λ Away (xG) 2.051
Total xG 3.542
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
FC Augsburg attack strength 0.963
FC Augsburg defence strength 1.010
Bayern München attack strength 1.383
Bayern München defence strength 0.850
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34