Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

14:30

Venue

Deutsche Bank Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Eintracht Frankfurt Win

47%

Eintracht Frankfurt

2.15

23%

Draw

4.30

30%

FSV Mainz 05

3.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.1%

Draw

1 – 1

6.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.29

Eintracht Frankfurt xG

Total xG

4.14

1.85

FSV Mainz 05 xG

47%
23%
30%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawFSV Mainz 05

2.15

47%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

3.32

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

78%

Over 2.5

1.28

22%

Under 2.5

4.55

59%

Over 3.5

1.69

41%

Under 3.5

2.44

40%

Over 4.5

2.50

60%

Under 4.5

1.67

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

77%

BTTS Yes

1.29

23%

BTTS No

4.44

Clean Sheet

16%

Eintracht Frankfurt

6.38

10%

FSV Mainz 05

9.87

Win to Nil

7%

Eintracht Frankfurt

13.69

3%

FSV Mainz 05

32.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6 2.9 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.3
1 3.6 6.7 6.2 3.9 1.8 0.7
2 4.2 7.7 7.1 4.4 2.0 0.8
3 3.2 5.9 5.5 3.4 1.6 0.6
4 1.8 3.4 3.1 1.9 0.9 0.3
5 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.290
λ Away (xG) 1.853
Total xG 4.143
League avg home goals 1.671
League avg away goals 1.487
Eintracht Frankfurt attack strength 1.352
Eintracht Frankfurt defence strength 0.999
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 1.247
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 1.013
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48