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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

18:30

Venue

Borussia-Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

24%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

4.21

19%

Draw

5.22

57%

SC Freiburg

1.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.2%

Draw

1 – 3

6.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

Total xG

3.94

2.41

SC Freiburg xG

24%
19%
57%
Borussia MönchengladbachDrawSC Freiburg

4.21

24%

Home win

5.22

19%

Draw

1.75

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

55%

Over 3.5

1.82

45%

Under 3.5

2.22

36%

Over 4.5

2.78

64%

Under 4.5

1.56

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.40

29%

BTTS No

3.49

Clean Sheet

9%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

11.12

22%

SC Freiburg

4.62

Win to Nil

2%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

46.81

12%

SC Freiburg

8.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9 4.7 5.6 4.5 2.7 1.3
1 3.0 7.2 8.6 6.9 4.2 2.0
2 2.3 5.5 6.6 5.3 3.2 1.5
3 1.2 2.8 3.4 2.7 1.6 0.8
4 0.4 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.3
5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.530
λ Away (xG) 2.409
Total xG 3.939
League avg home goals 1.619
League avg away goals 1.540
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 0.920
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 1.514
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.033
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.027
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39