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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

14:30

Venue

SIGNAL IDUNA PARK

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

53%

Borussia Dortmund

1.87

20%

Draw

4.94

26%

Werder Bremen

3.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.8%

Draw

2 – 2

6.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.26

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.81

1.56

Werder Bremen xG

53%
20%
26%
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen

1.87

53%

Home win

4.94

20%

Draw

3.80

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.41

29%

BTTS No

3.42

Clean Sheet

21%

Borussia Dortmund

4.75

10%

Werder Bremen

9.54

Win to Nil

11%

Borussia Dortmund

8.89

3%

Werder Bremen

36.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2 3.4 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2
1 5.0 7.8 6.0 3.1 1.2 0.4
2 5.6 8.7 6.8 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 4.2 6.6 5.1 2.7 1.0 0.3
4 2.4 3.7 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.256
λ Away (xG) 1.558
Total xG 3.814
League avg home goals 1.778
League avg away goals 1.452
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.184
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.945
Werder Bremen attack strength 1.136
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.072
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52