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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

14:30

Venue

SIGNAL IDUNA PARK

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

49%

Borussia Dortmund

2.04

23%

Draw

4.33

28%

VfB Stuttgart

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.18

1.34

VfB Stuttgart xG

49%
23%
28%
Borussia DortmundDrawVfB Stuttgart

2.04

49%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

26%

Borussia Dortmund

3.83

16%

VfB Stuttgart

6.27

Win to Nil

13%

Borussia Dortmund

7.82

4%

VfB Stuttgart

22.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.6 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.7 10.3 6.9 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 9.4 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.3
3 4.3 5.8 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 2.0 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.836
λ Away (xG) 1.342
Total xG 3.178
League avg home goals 1.770
League avg away goals 1.400
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.163
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.006
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 0.953
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.892
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54