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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

17:30

Venue

SIGNAL IDUNA PARK

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

56%

Borussia Dortmund

1.79

23%

Draw

4.31

21%

Union Berlin

4.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.35

1.25

Union Berlin xG

56%
23%
21%
Borussia DortmundDrawUnion Berlin

1.79

56%

Home win

4.31

23%

Draw

4.79

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

29%

Borussia Dortmund

3.47

12%

Union Berlin

8.22

Win to Nil

16%

Borussia Dortmund

6.21

3%

Union Berlin

39.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 4.4 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 7.4 9.2 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 7.8 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.5 6.8 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 2.9 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.106
λ Away (xG) 1.245
Total xG 3.351
League avg home goals 1.634
League avg away goals 1.357
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.154
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.091
Union Berlin attack strength 0.841
Union Berlin defence strength 1.117
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56