Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

14:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

62%

Borussia Dortmund

1.62

23%

Draw

4.43

16%

RB Leipzig

6.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

2.61

0.79

RB Leipzig xG

62%
23%
16%
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig

1.62

62%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

6.34

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

45%

Borussia Dortmund

2.21

16%

RB Leipzig

6.15

Win to Nil

28%

Borussia Dortmund

3.58

3%

RB Leipzig

38.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 5.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.4 10.6 4.2 1.1 0.2
2 12.2 9.6 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 7.4 5.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 3.3 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.816
λ Away (xG) 0.791
Total xG 2.607
League avg home goals 1.600
League avg away goals 1.642
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.169
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.644
RB Leipzig attack strength 0.748
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.970
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39