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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 10 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

SIGNAL IDUNA PARK

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

38%

Borussia Dortmund

2.62

28%

Draw

3.57

34%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.11

1.50

Bayer Leverkusen xG

38%
28%
34%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen

2.62

38%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.96

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

22%

Borussia Dortmund

4.49

20%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.97

Win to Nil

9%

Borussia Dortmund

11.75

7%

Bayer Leverkusen

14.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 6.7 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 7.2 10.8 8.1 4.1 1.5 0.5
2 5.8 8.7 6.5 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.1 4.6 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.604
λ Away (xG) 1.502
Total xG 3.106
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.489
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.213
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.823
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.225
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.768
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49