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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

16:30

Venue

SIGNAL IDUNA PARK

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

64%

Borussia Dortmund

1.56

25%

Draw

4.03

11%

1899 Hoffenheim

8.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

2.81

0.79

1899 Hoffenheim xG

64%
25%
Borussia DortmundDraw1899 Hoffenheim

1.56

64%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

8.84

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

46%

Borussia Dortmund

2.20

13%

1899 Hoffenheim

7.55

Win to Nil

29%

Borussia Dortmund

3.44

1%

1899 Hoffenheim

66.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.2 9.6 3.8 1.0 0.2
2 12.3 9.7 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 8.3 6.5 2.6 0.7 0.1
4 4.2 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.021
λ Away (xG) 0.787
Total xG 2.808
League avg home goals 1.648
League avg away goals 1.495
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.360
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.778
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 0.676
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.902
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47