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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

17:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

59%

Borussia Dortmund

1.69

22%

Draw

4.54

19%

1. FC Köln

5.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

2.86

0.96

1. FC Köln xG

59%
22%
19%
Borussia DortmundDraw1. FC Köln

1.69

59%

Home win

4.54

22%

Draw

5.35

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

38%

Borussia Dortmund

2.62

15%

1. FC Köln

6.68

Win to Nil

23%

Borussia Dortmund

4.42

3%

1. FC Köln

35.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.5 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 10.9 10.5 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.9 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.5 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.2
4 3.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.899
λ Away (xG) 0.963
Total xG 2.862
League avg home goals 1.553
League avg away goals 1.571
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.113
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.708
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.866
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.099
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 7