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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 11 Jan 2026

16:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

62%

Bayern München

1.61

21%

Draw

4.84

17%

VfL Wolfsburg

5.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

3 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.43

Bayern München xG

Total xG

3.68

1.25

VfL Wolfsburg xG

62%
21%
17%
Bayern MünchenDrawVfL Wolfsburg

1.61

62%

Home win

4.84

21%

Draw

5.81

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.96

Clean Sheet

29%

Bayern München

3.50

9%

VfL Wolfsburg

11.31

Win to Nil

18%

Bayern München

5.63

2%

VfL Wolfsburg

65.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
1 6.1 7.7 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.2
2 7.4 9.3 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.0 7.5 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 3.6 4.6 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.426
λ Away (xG) 1.253
Total xG 3.679
League avg home goals 1.654
League avg away goals 1.470
Bayern München attack strength 1.628
Bayern München defence strength 0.853
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.999
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 0.901
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49