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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 28 Aug 2026

19:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

59%

Bayern München

1.69

17%

Draw

5.81

24%

VfB Stuttgart

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

6.7%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

6.5%

Home win

2 – 2

6.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.89

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.75

1.86

VfB Stuttgart xG

59%
17%
24%
Bayern MünchenDrawVfB Stuttgart

1.69

59%

Home win

5.81

17%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

95%

Over 1.5

1.05

5%

Under 1.5

20.00

85%

Over 2.5

1.18

15%

Under 2.5

6.67

70%

Over 3.5

1.43

30%

Under 3.5

3.33

51%

Over 4.5

1.96

49%

Under 4.5

2.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

80%

BTTS Yes

1.25

20%

BTTS No

4.95

Clean Sheet

16%

Bayern München

6.41

6%

VfB Stuttgart

17.98

Win to Nil

9%

Bayern München

10.83

1%

VfB Stuttgart

76.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2
1 2.5 4.7 4.3 2.7 1.2 0.5
2 3.6 6.7 6.3 3.9 1.8 0.7
3 3.5 6.5 6.0 3.7 1.7 0.6
4 2.5 4.7 4.3 2.7 1.3 0.5
5 1.5 2.7 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.3

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.889
λ Away (xG) 1.858
Total xG 4.747
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Bayern München attack strength 1.463
Bayern München defence strength 0.992
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.276
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 1.084
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34