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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 19 Sep 2026

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

66%

Bayern München

1.51

17%

Draw

5.92

17%

Union Berlin

5.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.7%

Home win

2 – 0

6.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.72

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.08

1.36

Union Berlin xG

66%
17%
17%
Bayern MünchenDrawUnion Berlin

1.51

66%

Home win

5.92

17%

Draw

5.92

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

58%

Over 3.5

1.72

42%

Under 3.5

2.38

39%

Over 4.5

2.56

61%

Under 4.5

1.64

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.44

31%

BTTS No

3.27

Clean Sheet

26%

Bayern München

3.88

7%

Union Berlin

15.23

Win to Nil

17%

Bayern München

5.86

1%

Union Berlin

90.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
1 4.6 6.2 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.2
2 6.3 8.5 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 5.7 7.7 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 3.9 5.3 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 2.1 2.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.723
λ Away (xG) 1.356
Total xG 4.079
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Bayern München attack strength 1.463
Bayern München defence strength 0.992
Union Berlin attack strength 0.931
Union Berlin defence strength 1.022
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34