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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

71%

Bayern München

1.40

16%

Draw

6.24

13%

Union Berlin

7.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

8.1%

Home win

2 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.74

Bayern München xG

Total xG

3.86

1.12

Union Berlin xG

71%
16%
13%
Bayern MünchenDrawUnion Berlin

1.40

71%

Home win

6.24

16%

Draw

7.82

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

33%

Bayern München

3.07

6%

Union Berlin

15.53

Win to Nil

23%

Bayern München

4.31

1%

Union Berlin

121.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
1 5.8 6.5 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
2 7.9 8.8 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 7.2 8.1 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 4.9 5.5 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 2.7 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.743
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 3.864
League avg home goals 1.662
League avg away goals 1.348
Bayern München attack strength 1.761
Bayern München defence strength 0.984
Union Berlin attack strength 0.845
Union Berlin defence strength 0.937
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60