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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

70%

Bayern München

1.42

19%

Draw

5.18

10%

SC Freiburg

9.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

3 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.09

Bayern München xG

Total xG

2.75

0.66

SC Freiburg xG

70%
19%
Bayern MünchenDrawSC Freiburg

1.42

70%

Home win

5.18

19%

Draw

9.76

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

52%

Bayern München

1.93

12%

SC Freiburg

8.08

Win to Nil

36%

Bayern München

2.74

1%

SC Freiburg

78.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.4 8.8 2.9 0.6 0.1
2 14.0 9.2 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 9.7 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 5.1 3.4 1.1 0.2
5 2.1 1.4 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.090
λ Away (xG) 0.659
Total xG 2.749
League avg home goals 1.645
League avg away goals 1.446
Bayern München attack strength 1.603
Bayern München defence strength 0.611
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.746
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.793
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44