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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 13 Mar 2027

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

56%

Bayern München

1.78

20%

Draw

5.01

24%

FSV Mainz 05

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.8%

Draw

3 – 1

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.31

Bayern München xG

Total xG

3.77

1.47

FSV Mainz 05 xG

56%
20%
24%
Bayern MünchenDrawFSV Mainz 05

1.78

56%

Home win

5.01

20%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.44

31%

BTTS No

3.26

Clean Sheet

23%

Bayern München

4.33

10%

FSV Mainz 05

10.03

Win to Nil

13%

Bayern München

7.69

2%

FSV Mainz 05

42.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 5.3 7.8 5.7 2.8 1.0 0.3
2 6.1 9.0 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 4.7 6.9 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.3
4 2.7 4.0 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.306
λ Away (xG) 1.465
Total xG 3.771
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Bayern München attack strength 1.455
Bayern München defence strength 0.992
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 1.006
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.870
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34