Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

16:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

86%

Bayern München

1.16

9%

Draw

11.01

5%

FSV Mainz 05

21.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

4 – 0

8.0%

Home win

3 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.64

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.52

0.88

FSV Mainz 05 xG

86%
Bayern MünchenDrawFSV Mainz 05

1.16

86%

Home win

11.01

9%

Draw

21.05

5%

Away win

Goals Markets

94%

Over 1.5

1.06

6%

Under 1.5

16.67

83%

Over 2.5

1.20

17%

Under 2.5

5.88

66%

Over 3.5

1.52

34%

Under 3.5

2.94

47%

Over 4.5

2.13

53%

Under 4.5

1.89

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

41%

Bayern München

2.41

3%

FSV Mainz 05

38.09

Win to Nil

36%

Bayern München

2.80

0%

FSV Mainz 05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
1 4.0 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
2 7.2 6.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
3 8.7 7.7 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 8.0 7.0 3.1 0.9 0.2
5 5.8 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.640
λ Away (xG) 0.881
Total xG 4.521
League avg home goals 1.728
League avg away goals 1.398
Bayern München attack strength 1.761
Bayern München defence strength 0.790
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.798
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 1.197
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47