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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

71%

Bayern München

1.40

18%

Draw

5.58

11%

FC St. Pauli

9.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.43

Bayern München xG

Total xG

3.29

0.86

FC St. Pauli xG

71%
18%
Bayern MünchenDrawFC St. Pauli

1.40

71%

Home win

5.58

18%

Draw

9.28

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

42%

Bayern München

2.37

9%

FC St. Pauli

11.35

Win to Nil

30%

Bayern München

3.32

1%

FC St. Pauli

105.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.0 7.8 3.4 1.0 0.2
2 11.0 9.5 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 8.9 7.7 3.3 0.9 0.2
4 5.4 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.1
5 2.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.429
λ Away (xG) 0.861
Total xG 3.290
League avg home goals 1.560
League avg away goals 1.414
Bayern München attack strength 1.661
Bayern München defence strength 0.905
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.673
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.937
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 26