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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

17:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

66%

Bayern München

1.52

18%

Draw

5.44

16%

Borussia Dortmund

6.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

2 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.54

Bayern München xG

Total xG

3.75

1.20

Borussia Dortmund xG

66%
18%
16%
Bayern MünchenDrawBorussia Dortmund

1.52

66%

Home win

5.44

18%

Draw

6.39

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.85

Clean Sheet

30%

Bayern München

3.33

8%

Borussia Dortmund

12.73

Win to Nil

20%

Bayern München

5.04

1%

Borussia Dortmund

81.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2
1 6.0 7.2 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 7.6 9.2 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 6.5 7.8 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 4.1 5.0 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 2.1 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.544
λ Away (xG) 1.202
Total xG 3.746
League avg home goals 1.624
League avg away goals 1.551
Bayern München attack strength 1.786
Bayern München defence strength 0.658
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.176
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.877
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40