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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

66%

Bayern München

1.52

17%

Draw

5.90

17%

Borussia Dortmund

5.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.6%

Home win

2 – 2

5.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.81

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.26

1.45

Borussia Dortmund xG

66%
17%
17%
Bayern MünchenDrawBorussia Dortmund

1.52

66%

Home win

5.90

17%

Draw

5.78

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

80%

Over 2.5

1.25

20%

Under 2.5

5.00

62%

Over 3.5

1.61

38%

Under 3.5

2.63

42%

Over 4.5

2.38

58%

Under 4.5

1.72

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.39

28%

BTTS No

3.59

Clean Sheet

24%

Bayern München

4.25

6%

Borussia Dortmund

16.68

Win to Nil

15%

Bayern München

6.46

1%

Borussia Dortmund

96.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
1 4.0 5.7 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
2 5.6 8.1 5.8 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 5.2 7.6 5.5 2.6 1.0 0.3
4 3.7 5.3 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 2.1 3.0 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.814
λ Away (xG) 1.446
Total xG 4.260
League avg home goals 1.492
League avg away goals 1.430
Bayern München attack strength 1.707
Bayern München defence strength 0.986
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.025
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.104
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62